La pregunta es: ¿Qué tan rápido y cuánto puede la producción crecer en el futuro dado precios más altos y un retorno a mayores tasas de perforación? Dado que el shale gas es la principal fuente de esperanza para el crecimiento o incluso el mantenimiento de la producción de gas en Estados Unidos, una visión del futuro de la producción de gas de esquisto es fundamental para establecer políticas energéticas y evitar déficit imprevisto.

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U.S. gas production was thought to be in permanent decline as recently as 2005. The advent of shale gas over the past decade has, however, dramatically turned this around and increased production to all-time highs. Notwithstanding this, U.S. gas production peaked in mid-2015 and shale gas production peaked in early 2016, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA).  The question is: How fast and how  much can production grow in the future given higher prices and a return to higher rates of drilling? Given that shale gas is the major source of hope for growing or even maintaining U.S. gas production, a view to the future of shale gas production is critical for establishing energy policy and avoiding unforeseen supply shortfalls.